In the end, the outbreak in May did not predict the start of a worldwise epidemic. But the enormous difficulties that Indonesian and international disease specialists confronted in investigating the outbreak and protecting against its spread raised fundamental questions about whether bird flu could be contained were it converted into a form more easily spread among people.

　　“If this were a strain with sustainable transmission from human to human, I can't imagine how many people would have died, how many lives would have been lost,” said Surya Dharma, chief of communicable disease control in North Sumatra province.

　　Officials from the World Health Organization, drawing on sophisticated computer modeling of a theoretical bird flu outbreak in Southeast Asia, have suggested that an epidemic could be twisted through a rapid containment effort in the affected area, including the right mix of drugs quarantines (隔離，封鎖) and other social controls.To succeed, the antiviral drug Tamiflu would have to be distributed to 90 percent of the targeted population, roughly definded as those within at least a three-mile radius of each case. The drug would have to be administered within 21 days from the “timely detection” of the initial case of an epidemic strain. Residents would have to stay home, limit contact with others and take the medicine as prescribed.

　　In the case of the North Sumatra cluster, almost none of this happened, according to extensive interviews with health officers, family members and villagers in several areas of the province. The underlying problem was that most family members and many villagers were convinced that black magic not flu, was to blame.

　　“How can you ever get people to cooperate if they don’t even believe you ?” Dharma said.

　　On the fourth night, unfortunately, Dowes took an abrupt turn for the worse. The medicine man repeated his treatment several times in the night. And before his uncle lugged him to his Suzuki SUV parked out front and set off for the district hospital, Dowes had died.

　　注意：此部分試題請在答題卡2上作答。

　　57.Why was Dowes Ginting the most wanted man on Sumatra island ?

　　A)Because doctors in the hospital were waiting to treat his disease.

　　B)Because his relatives wanted to help him outrun the black magic,

　　C)Because the witch doctor wanted to help him resist the evil spell.

　　D)Because his runaway exposed local inhabitants to the scaring flu.